PWHL 2025-26 playoff chances, projected standings and player ratings

Welcome to our PWHL projections and probabilities page, where you will find each team’s projected point total, as well as its probability of making the playoffs, advancing to the final, and winning the Walter Cup. The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, which factor each team’s projected strength, strength of schedule and home ice. Each team’s projected strength is based on the collective Offensive and Defensive Ratings of their roster. This page will be updated after every PWHL game day. All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated February 26, 2026

Each team's underlying strength is based on how strong their skaters are projected to be. Each skater's value is listed below and based on their last three seasons of data in the PWHL.

This article originally appeared in The Athletic.

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