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Gennaro Gattuso wasn’t handed the easiest of tasks when he succeeded Luciano Spalletti as Italy manager. The Azzurri had just been thumped 3-0 in Oslo by Erling Haaland’s rampant Norway, while they’d also struggled to put away minnows Moldova in Reggio Emilia.
They would improve under the former World Cup winning midfielder and the goals started flowing more freely, but a 4-1 home drubbing by Haaland and Co. once again at San Siro — Italy’s worst home defeat in over 70 years — consigned them to a third straight trip to the playoffs and let them know in no uncertain terms just how far away they are from being considered one of the planet’s elite.
The Playoffs Loom
Even though Italy are yet to officially confirm their spot at the World Cup, online betting sites are still somewhat big on their hopes. The popular https://www.luckyrebel.la/sportsbook/soccer/fifa-world-cup currently prices them at 35/1, a price shorter than Belgium, Croatia, and the co-hosting Americans. But first, the playoffs are looming, and Gattuso has a decision to make, specifically regarding his striking options.
He’s currently holed up somewhere in his Milan residence, hunched over a laptop, watching grainy Saudi Pro League footage of Mateo Retegui dismantling some hapless Al-Hazem defence. Five goals in three games. Numbers don’t lie, he tells himself. Then a defender mistimes a lunge, trips over the ball, and Retegui slots in with contemptuous ease. Gattuso suddenly has a mental crisis on his hands once again.
Recent Trauma
Azzurri fans know the trauma intimately by now. Sweden in 2017 — Buffon weeping at 39, an era ending in humiliation as the Scandinavians headed to Russia. North Macedonia in 2022 — Trajkovski’s dagger at the Barbera, the most humiliating night in post-war Italian football. And then last fall, the fresh wound: 4-1 against Norway, comprehensively outclassed home and away, punted into the playoffs again like a nation that’s forgotten how to qualify for anything.
Three campaigns. Three catastrophes. Sweden. North Macedonia. Norway. Italy is no longer a sleeping giant — she’s a sleepwalker lurching toward a cliff edge, and Bergamo’s Gewiss Stadium on March 26 is where the sleepwalking either ends or the country tumbles into an abyss it may never climb out of.
The question haunting Gattuso isn’t tactical. It’s existential. When he surveys his striking options, he has four candidates, none of whom would have started ahead of Christian Vieri or Filippo Inzaghi without serious debate. The Alessandro Del Piero era produced natural goalscorers who devoured playoff pressure, but which of them can score the goals required to end the Azzurri’s 12-year wait to finally venture back onto that hallowed World Cup turf?
Mateo Retegui
Italy’s most proven international striker — 11 goals in 26 caps, capocannoniere with 25 Serie A goals at Atalanta in 2024-25, a genuine penalty-box predator whose movement off the ball made defenders look amateurish — packed his bags for Al-Qadsiah at 26. He’s not winding down, but despite having had a very prolific season, it remains to be seen whether the Saudi Pro League is quite testing enough for a striker who will be required to make a difference at an international level.
BERGAMO, ITALY – SEPTEMBER 05: Mateo Retegui of Italy celebrates with teammates after scoring his team’s second goal during the FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match between Italy and Estonia at Stadio di Bergamo on September 05, 2025 in Bergamo, Italy. (Photo by Mattia Ozbot/Getty Images)
Here’s the uncomfortable truth: La Gazzetta dello Sport won’t quite print it, but their columnists are already sharpening their knives to write: if Retegui misses a sitter against Northern Ireland, he won’t be forgiven. His international résumé demands he start — you don’t discard 11 international goals — but will he still be on the same level as his teammates in March after spending several months in a minor league?
Gianluca Scamacca
At his peak in 2023-24 — 12 goals, six assists, Champions League qualification with Atalanta — he was Italy’s most complete No. 9; 195 centimetres of aerial dominance and technical security that bordered on Ibrahimović-esque audacity. Then the body betrayed him. ACL tear in August 2024 and a thigh tendon surgery in February 2025. Lastly, a knee withdrawal in September 2025. He’s managed 959 Serie A minutes this season, scoring six goals, but he also netted three decisive Champions League goals in eight appearances.
BERLIN, GERMANY – JUNE 29: Gianluca Scamacca of Italy, looks dejected after the team’s elimination from the tournament following the UEFA EURO 2024 round of 16 match between Switzerland and Italy at Olympiastadion on June 29, 2024 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Lars Baron/Getty Images)
Atalanta are the only Serie A side to have earned qualification for the Champions League Round of 16, and did so also thanks to the towering striker’s help. His full fitness across the two legs remains uncertain, and his international record doesn’t match his club form, having just bagged one goal in 22 Italy appearances.
Pio Esposito
Pio Esposito doesn’t remember Del Piero scoring against Germany and doesn’t carry the scar tissue from Palermo 2022. He doesn’t wake up sweating, with visions of Trajkovski. Heck, he was just eight years old the last time Italy played at a World Cup. But at 20 years old, learning from Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram in a treble-chasing Inter squad, he arrives at this debate unburdened by history — which is either his greatest asset or his greatest liability.
MILAN, ITALY – NOVEMBER 16: Pio Esposito of Italy celebrates scoring his team’s first goal during the FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match between Italy and Norway at San Siro Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)
Four goals and three assists in 294 Serie A minutes. Two goals and two assists in the Champions League. U-19 European champion, U-20 World Cup runner-up — this kid has already won things with the famous blue shirt on, more than we can say about his rivals for a starting berth.
That defeat to Sweden in qualifying for 2018 happened with veterans so psychologically paralysed they couldn’t function. North Macedonia, four years later, haemorrhaged experience that choked. Maybe fearless youth is exactly the antidote. Or maybe it’s desperation dressed as inspiration. Starting Esposito against Northern Ireland is either the boldest selection in recent Azzurri history or the most reckless. There’s genuinely no middle ground.
Moise Kean
At 25, his 2024-25 renaissance at Fiorentina (19 league goals, genuine world-class stretches) briefly convinced everyone the breakthrough had crystallised. Then came 2025-26: eight goals in 23 Serie A games, a slight step back after a tremendous debut season in Florence.
DORTMUND, GERMANY – MARCH 23: Moise Kean of Italy celebrates scoring his team’s second goal during the UEFA Nations League Quarterfinal Leg Two match between Germany and Italy at Football Stadium Dortmund on March 23, 2025 in Dortmund, Germany. (Photo by Stuart Franklin/Getty Images)
His pace and athleticism make defenders nervous, but his finishing hasn’t always been accurate this season. Will Kean perform for the Azzurri? Surely, Italy cannot afford to answer that question in a playoff semifinal, and their head coach has a very serious decision to make. Fans and bettors alike will be eagerly waiting to see which way he will turn.